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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Apple Mountain Lake, VA

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score72out of 100
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46
62
100
79
92

Population

1,671

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+1.0% YoY

46

$2.6B

Output changed +1.0% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

62

4.3%

Unemployment is 4.3% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.3%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+24.2% 5-year

100

1,671

Population moved +24.2% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population8,705,170
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

79

15.2%

Median rent consumes 15.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.1K per resident

92

$288.5M

$288.5M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$214.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$288.5M

$7.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$215.5M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$31.7M
3. Department of Defense$16.3M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. ASK SAGE, INC.$15.5M
2. COAKLEY & WILLIAMS CONSTRUCTION, LLC.$14.3M
3. SOLE SOLUTIONS INC.$4.5M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

15.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,369
2BR estimate$1,803
Median income$131,799
Median home value$369,700

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,671

Median age

36.2

Bachelor's degree+

36.8%

Poverty rate

3.2%

Labor force participation

69.1%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+4.4%

GDP CAGR

+6.3%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20201,345
20211,413
20221,584
20231,801
20241,671
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.9B
2021$2.0B
2022$2.3B
2023$2.5B
2024$2.6B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,671
20251,875 *
20261,979 *

R² = 77.9% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$2.6B
2025$2.8B *
2026$3.0B *

R² = 94.9% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$131,799/yr
Median rent$1,669/mo
Rent share of income15.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$22,433/yr
Mortgage share of income17.0%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.3%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation69.1%
Poverty rate3.2%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$369,700
Median monthly rent$1,669
Price-to-rent ratio18.5x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score67/100
Economic growth46/100
Labor market62/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability72/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Apple Mountain Lake CDP, Virginia

City/Town

Part of

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Nearby locations

Skyland Estates, VAShenandoah Shores, VAFront Royal, VAShenandoah Farms, VAChester Gap, VA