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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Arlington, MN

Thriving overall. GDP / Output is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score67out of 100
Compare
100
51
0
86
100

Population

2,065

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+15.7% YoY

100

$722.3M

Output changed +15.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.1%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

51

5.0%

Unemployment is 5.0% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-15.7% 5-year

0

2,065

Population moved -15.7% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population5,739,445
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

86

9.7%

Median rent consumes 9.7% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.3K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.2K per resident

100

$122.4M

$122.4M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$242.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$122.4M

$8.2K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$78.1M
2. Department of Agriculture$29.7M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$6.8M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$25.5M
2. MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$6.2M
3. MICHAEL FOODS, INC$3.2M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

9.7%

of median income

1BR estimate$450
2BR estimate$593
Median income$68,073
Median home value$206,300

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,065

Median age

35.5

Bachelor's degree+

16.6%

Poverty rate

8.6%

Labor force participation

63.8%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-3.4%

GDP CAGR

+10.4%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,451
20212,466
20222,428
20232,298
20242,065
GDP (5 years)
2020$439.6M
2021$519.4M
2022$611.5M
2023$624.2M
2024$722.3M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,065
20252,060 *
20261,966 *

R² = 78.0% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$722.3M
2025$784.4M *
2026$851.5M *

R² = 96.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$68,073/yr
Median rent$549/mo
Rent share of income9.7%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$12,518/yr
Mortgage share of income18.4%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate5.0%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation63.8%
Poverty rate8.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$206,300
Median monthly rent$549
Price-to-rent ratio31.3x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score60/100
Economic growth100/100
Labor market51/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability67/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Arlington city, Minnesota

City/Town

Part of

Minnesota

Nearby locations

Green Isle, MNGaylord, MNNew Auburn, MNHenderson, MNHamburg, MN