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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Bagley, MN

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score55out of 100
Compare
78
27
22
72
100

Population

1,248

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.5% YoY

78

$393.4M

Output changed +5.5% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.1%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

27

6.6%

Unemployment is 6.6% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-4.6% 5-year

22

1,248

Population moved -4.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population5,739,445
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

72

20.0%

Median rent consumes 20.0% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.3K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.7K per resident

100

$74.3M

$74.3M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$242.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$74.3M

$8.7K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$47.5M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$6.7M
3. Department of Transportation$6.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$5.8M
2. RED LAKE BAND OF CHIPPEWA INDIANS$4.4M
3. MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$3.5M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

20.0%

of median income

1BR estimate$615
2BR estimate$810
Median income$44,896
Median home value$138,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,248

Median age

45.4

Bachelor's degree+

17.5%

Poverty rate

17.7%

Labor force participation

52.5%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.9%

GDP CAGR

+6.9%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20201,308
20211,175
20221,194
20231,218
20241,248
GDP (5 years)
2020$282.3M
2021$351.6M
2022$348.1M
2023$372.7M
2024$393.4M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,248
20251,206 *
20261,198 *

R² = 5.5% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$393.4M
2025$422.7M *
2026$447.0M *

R² = 84.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$44,896/yr
Median rent$750/mo
Rent share of income20.0%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$8,410/yr
Mortgage share of income18.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate6.6%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation52.5%
Poverty rate17.7%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$138,600
Median monthly rent$750
Price-to-rent ratio15.4x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score48/100
Economic growth78/100
Labor market27/100
Population momentum22/100
Overall stability55/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Bagley city, Minnesota

City/Town

Part of

Minnesota

Nearby locations

Shevlin, MNEbro, MNLeonard, MNLengby, MNRice Lake, MN