Skip to main content

EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

Saved
PLACEThriving

Bailey'S Crossroads, VA

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while housing needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score73out of 100
Compare
NA
74
71
62
100

Population

24,271

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

Unavailable YoY

NA

Unavailable

Local GDP is unavailable for this geography.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

74

3.2%

Unemployment is 3.2% for April 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.8%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

+3.5% 5-year

71

24,271

Population moved +3.5% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population8,705,170
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

62

27.4%

Median rent consumes 27.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$41.6K per resident

100

$47.8B

$47.8B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$214.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

Industry GDP mix is unavailable for this geography.

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$47.8B

$41.6K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Department of Defense$19.7B
2. Social Security Administration$4.5B
3. Department of Homeland Security$3.9B

Top recipients

Dollars
1. BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC$2.0B
2. LEIDOS, INC.$1.9B
3. GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC.$1.7B

Affordable

Housing Affordability

27.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,657
2BR estimate$2,183
Median income$88,483
Median home value$416,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

24,271

Median age

36.9

Bachelor's degree+

45.3%

Poverty rate

22.5%

Labor force participation

68.2%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

April 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.7%

GDP CAGR

Unavailable

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202023,459
202124,501
202224,785
202325,458
202424,271

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202424,271
202525,269 *
202625,527 *

R² = 31.2% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$88,483/yr
Median rent$2,021/mo
Rent share of income27.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$25,279/yr
Mortgage share of income28.6%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.2%
State avg3.8%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation68.2%
Poverty rate22.5%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. April 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$416,600
Median monthly rent$2,021
Price-to-rent ratio17.2x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score73/100
Economic growthN/A
Labor market74/100
Population momentum71/100
Overall stability73/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Bailey's Crossroads CDP, Virginia

City/Town

Part of

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Nearby locations

Seven Corners, VALake Barcroft, VALincolnia, VAArlington, VAAlexandria, VA