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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Bailey'S Prairie, TX

Thriving overall. Jobs is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score77out of 100
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66
100
38
79
84

Population

708

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+3.9% YoY

66

$23.4B

Output changed +3.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

100

1.0%

Unemployment is 1.0% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

-1.9% 5-year

38

708

Population moved -1.9% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

79

14.9%

Median rent consumes 14.9% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.1K per resident

84

$2.3B

$2.3B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.3B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$2.3B

$6.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$1.6B
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$351.7M
3. Department of Energy$173.4M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. DOW CHEMICAL COMPANY, THE$100.0M
2. BASF CORPORATION$73.4M
3. TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$31.3M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

14.9%

of median income

1BR estimate$895
2BR estimate$1,178
Median income$87,750
Median home value$396,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

708

Median age

49.7

Bachelor's degree+

30.9%

Poverty rate

12.4%

Labor force participation

49.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.4%

GDP CAGR

+7.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020722
2021647
2022763
2023730
2024708
GDP (5 years)
2020$16.3B
2021$18.8B
2022$22.1B
2023$22.5B
2024$23.4B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024708
2025731 *
2026736 *

R² = 4.2% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$23.4B
2025$26.0B *
2026$27.8B *

R² = 90.0% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$87,750/yr
Median rent$1,091/mo
Rent share of income14.9%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$24,065/yr
Mortgage share of income27.4%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate1.0%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation49.3%
Poverty rate12.4%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$396,600
Median monthly rent$1,091
Price-to-rent ratio30.3x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score72/100
Economic growth66/100
Labor market100/100
Population momentum38/100
Overall stability77/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Bailey's Prairie village, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

Nearby locations

Holiday Lakes, TXAngleton, TXEast Columbia, TXLake Jackson, TXBrazoria, TX