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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Bear Creek, TX

Thriving overall. GDP / Output is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as unavailable for a median-income household.

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Overall score86out of 100
Compare
100
71
100
NA
85

Population

515

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+8.9% YoY

100

$15.3B

Output changed +8.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

71

3.7%

Unemployment is 3.7% for September 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.4%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+12.0% 5-year

100

515

Population moved +12.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

NA

Unavailable

Housing affordability could not be calculated.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.2K per resident

85

$1.5B

$1.5B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.5B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$1.5B

$6.2K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$987.3M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$244.9M
3. Department of Education$113.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. TEXAS STATE UNIVERSITY$142.9M
2. THE CITY OF AUSTIN$47.9M
3. ARBOR E & T LLC$36.5M

Unavailable

Housing Affordability

Unavailable

of median income

1BR estimateUnavailable
2BR estimateUnavailable
Median income$121,000
Median home value$847,500

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

515

Median age

47.1

Bachelor's degree+

67.3%

Poverty rate

0.0%

Labor force participation

65.8%

Prime rate

7.0%

CPI YoY

Unavailable

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

September 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-10-27

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+2.3%

GDP CAGR

+11.0%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020460
2021476
2022485
2023503
2024515
GDP (5 years)
2020$9.1B
2021$10.5B
2022$12.4B
2023$14.1B
2024$15.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024515
2025529 *
2026543 *

R² = 99.3% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$15.3B
2025$17.1B *
2026$18.7B *

R² = 99.5% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$121,000/yr
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$51,425/yr
Mortgage share of income42.5%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.7%
State avg4.4%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation65.8%
Poverty rate0.0%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. September 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$847,500

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score89/100
Economic growth100/100
Labor market71/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability86/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Bear Creek village, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX

Nearby locations

Belterra, TXShady Hollow, TXHays, TXDriftwood, TXManchaca, TX