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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Black Rock, AR

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score53out of 100
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6
57
49
72
97

Population

853

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

-4.7% YoY

6

$559.4M

Output changed -4.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.7%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

57

4.6%

Unemployment is 4.6% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-0.1% 5-year

49

853

Population moved -0.1% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population3,049,391
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

72

19.7%

Median rent consumes 19.7% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$947
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.7K per resident

97

$125.0M

$125.0M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$34.9B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$125.0M

$7.7K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$93.1M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$12.9M
3. Department of Agriculture$8.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$6.2M
2. ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$4.9M
3. WILLIAMS BAPTIST COLLEGE$1.8M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

19.7%

of median income

1BR estimate$701
2BR estimate$923
Median income$52,019
Median home value$68,700

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

853

Median age

39.5

Bachelor's degree+

7.6%

Poverty rate

30.5%

Labor force participation

47.6%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.0%

GDP CAGR

+3.4%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020854
2021860
2022846
2023790
2024853
GDP (5 years)
2020$472.5M
2021$499.9M
2022$552.5M
2023$587.2M
2024$559.4M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024853
2025819 *
2026812 *

R² = 15.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$559.4M
2025$612.6M *
2026$638.7M *

R² = 77.8% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$52,019/yr
Median rent$855/mo
Rent share of income19.7%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$4,169/yr
Mortgage share of income8.0%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.6%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation47.6%
Poverty rate30.5%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$68,700
Median monthly rent$855
Price-to-rent ratio6.7x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score39/100
Economic growth6/100
Labor market57/100
Population momentum49/100
Overall stability53/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Black Rock city, Arkansas

City/Town

Part of

Arkansas

Nearby locations

Powhatan, ARPortia, ARImboden, ARHoxie, ARWalnut Ridge, AR