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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Bristol, TN

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score64out of 100
Compare
89
24
65
76
100

Population

27,636

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.2% YoY

89

$11.9B

Output changed +7.2% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

24

6.8%

Unemployment is 6.8% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+2.5% 5-year

65

27,636

Population moved +2.5% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

76

17.4%

Median rent consumes 17.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$11.5K per resident

100

$1.8B

$1.8B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$1.8B

$11.5K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$1.1B
2. Department of Defense$491.3M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$150.8M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. BAE SYSTEMS ORDNANCE SYSTEMS INC.$264.3M
2. PARSONS GOVERNMENT SERVICES INC$176.8M
3. TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$35.2M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

17.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$690
2BR estimate$909
Median income$58,162
Median home value$194,500

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

27,636

Median age

41.1

Bachelor's degree+

30.6%

Poverty rate

13.6%

Labor force participation

61.8%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.5%

GDP CAGR

+7.1%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202026,973
202127,154
202227,307
202327,490
202427,636
GDP (5 years)
2020$8.4B
2021$9.8B
2022$10.7B
2023$11.1B
2024$11.9B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202427,636
202527,811 *
202627,977 *

R² = 99.9% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$11.9B
2025$12.8B *
2026$13.7B *

R² = 95.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$58,162/yr
Median rent$842/mo
Rent share of income17.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$11,802/yr
Mortgage share of income20.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate6.8%
State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation61.8%
Poverty rate13.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$194,500
Median monthly rent$842
Price-to-rent ratio19.2x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score62/100
Economic growth89/100
Labor market24/100
Population momentum65/100
Overall stability64/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Bristol city, Tennessee

City/Town

Part of

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA

Nearby locations

Walnut Hill, TNBristol, VABlountville, TNBluff City, TNHunter, TN