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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Bull Shoals, AR

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score56out of 100
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81
36
6
71
100

Population

1,678

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.9% YoY

81

$773.6M

Output changed +5.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.7%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

36

6.0%

Unemployment is 6.0% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-7.3% 5-year

6

1,678

Population moved -7.3% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population3,049,391
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

71

20.4%

Median rent consumes 20.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$947
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.6K per resident

100

$162.1M

$162.1M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$34.9B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$162.1M

$9.6K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$134.5M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$18.7M
3. Department of Transportation$4.2M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$3.4M
2. NATIONAL GENERAL MANAGEMENT CORP.$1.0M
3. MARION COUNTY REGIONAL$635.9K

Affordable

Housing Affordability

20.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$586
2BR estimate$772
Median income$41,976
Median home value$158,100

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,678

Median age

50.2

Bachelor's degree+

17.2%

Poverty rate

14.6%

Labor force participation

43.8%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-1.5%

GDP CAGR

+4.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20201,811
20211,728
20221,790
20231,687
20241,678
GDP (5 years)
2020$629.6M
2021$738.9M
2022$696.6M
2023$730.2M
2024$773.6M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,678
20251,647 *
20261,616 *

R² = 65.8% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$773.6M
2025$797.6M *
2026$825.5M *

R² = 65.8% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$41,976/yr
Median rent$715/mo
Rent share of income20.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$9,593/yr
Mortgage share of income22.9%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate6.0%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation43.8%
Poverty rate14.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$158,100
Median monthly rent$715
Price-to-rent ratio18.4x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score49/100
Economic growth81/100
Labor market36/100
Population momentum6/100
Overall stability56/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Bull Shoals city, Arkansas

City/Town

Part of

Arkansas

Nearby locations

Lakeview, AROakland, ARMidway, ARFlippin, ARCotter, AR