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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Burlington Junction, MO

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score67out of 100
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69
75
0
87
90

Population

397

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.3% YoY

69

$1.0B

Output changed +4.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

75

3.4%

Unemployment is 3.4% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-16.8% 5-year

0

397

Population moved -16.8% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population6,191,814
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

87

9.2%

Median rent consumes 9.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.9K per resident

90

$146.6M

$146.6M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$93.8B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$146.6M

$6.9K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$93.4M
2. Department of Agriculture$14.7M
3. Department of Education$12.5M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$14.2M
2. NORTHWEST MISSOURI STATE UNIVERSITY$12.8M
3. MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$12.3M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

9.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$317
2BR estimate$418
Median income$50,750
Median home value$90,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

397

Median age

43.9

Bachelor's degree+

11.7%

Poverty rate

15.1%

Labor force participation

58.0%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-3.6%

GDP CAGR

+5.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020477
2021458
2022509
2023383
2024397
GDP (5 years)
2020$785.5M
2021$837.3M
2022$913.8M
2023$969.9M
2024$1.0B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024397
2025374 *
2026351 *

R² = 48.3% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.0B
2025$1.1B *
2026$1.1B *

R² = 99.1% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$50,750/yr
Median rent$387/mo
Rent share of income9.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$5,497/yr
Mortgage share of income10.8%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.4%
State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation58.0%
Poverty rate15.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$90,600
Median monthly rent$387
Price-to-rent ratio19.5x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score56/100
Economic growth69/100
Labor market75/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability67/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Burlington Junction city, Missouri

City/Town

Part of

Maryville, MO

Nearby locations

Clearmont, MOQuitman, MOElmo, MOBraddyville, IASkidmore, MO