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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Cainsville, MO

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score62out of 100
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3
69
77
78
99

Population

212

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

-5.1% YoY

3

$308.8M

Output changed -5.1% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

69

3.8%

Unemployment is 3.8% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+4.4% 5-year

77

212

Population moved +4.4% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population6,191,814
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

78

15.5%

Median rent consumes 15.5% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.0K per resident

99

$65.0M

$65.0M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$93.8B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$65.0M

$8.0K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$45.0M
2. Department of Agriculture$8.1M
3. Department of Transportation$5.6M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$7.7M
2. MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$5.6M
3. BETHANY PUBLIC HOUSING AGENCY$443.3K

Affordable

Housing Affordability

15.5%

of median income

1BR estimate$441
2BR estimate$581
Median income$41,667
Median home value$62,000

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

212

Median age

49.6

Bachelor's degree+

11.6%

Poverty rate

15.1%

Labor force participation

56.8%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.9%

GDP CAGR

+2.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020203
2021194
2022210
2023207
2024212
GDP (5 years)
2020$276.9M
2021$290.5M
2022$315.1M
2023$325.6M
2024$308.8M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024212
2025215 *
2026218 *

R² = 47.4% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$308.8M
2025$333.1M *
2026$343.0M *

R² = 64.1% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$41,667/yr
Median rent$538/mo
Rent share of income15.5%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$3,762/yr
Mortgage share of income9.0%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.8%
State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation56.8%
Poverty rate15.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$62,000
Median monthly rent$538
Price-to-rent ratio9.6x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score49/100
Economic growth3/100
Labor market69/100
Population momentum77/100
Overall stability62/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Cainsville city, Missouri

City/Town

Part of

Missouri

Nearby locations

Mount Moriah, MOBlythedale, MORidgeway, MOPleasanton, IAPrinceton, MO