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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Carlisle, OH

Thriving overall. GDP / Output is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score79out of 100
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86
77
70
77
86

Population

5,543

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+6.7% YoY

86

$18.8B

Output changed +6.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

77

3.3%

Unemployment is 3.3% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.8%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+3.4% 5-year

70

5,543

Population moved +3.4% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population11,810,293
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

77

16.2%

Median rent consumes 16.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.4K per resident

86

$1.6B

$1.6B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$129.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$1.6B

$6.4K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$1.2B
2. Department of Energy$123.9M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$121.6M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. ULTIUM CELLS LLC$123.9M
2. L3 TECHNOLOGIES, INC.$69.7M
3. OHIO DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$17.6M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

16.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$789
2BR estimate$1,039
Median income$71,136
Median home value$207,100

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

5,543

Median age

42.1

Bachelor's degree+

17.8%

Poverty rate

10.1%

Labor force participation

60.6%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.7%

GDP CAGR

+7.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20205,362
20215,436
20225,488
20235,460
20245,543
GDP (5 years)
2020$12.9B
2021$15.2B
2022$16.5B
2023$17.6B
2024$18.8B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20245,543
20255,574 *
20265,612 *

R² = 83.6% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$18.8B
2025$20.4B *
2026$21.8B *

R² = 97.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$71,136/yr
Median rent$962/mo
Rent share of income16.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$12,567/yr
Mortgage share of income17.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.3%
State avg4.8%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation60.6%
Poverty rate10.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$207,100
Median monthly rent$962
Price-to-rent ratio17.9x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score79/100
Economic growth86/100
Labor market77/100
Population momentum70/100
Overall stability79/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Carlisle city, Ohio

City/Town

Part of

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN

Nearby locations

Franklin, OHGermantown, OHMiamisburg, OHSpringboro, OHMiddletown, OH