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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Centralia, IL

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score43out of 100
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55
0
26
73
96

Population

11,856

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+2.3% YoY

55

$1.8B

Output changed +2.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.3%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

0

11.2%

Unemployment is 11.2% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-4.0% 5-year

26

11,856

Population moved -4.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population12,694,798
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

73

19.2%

Median rent consumes 19.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.3K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.6K per resident

96

$286.1M

$286.1M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$134.6B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$286.1M

$7.6K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$211.6M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$25.5M
3. Railroad Retirement Board$19.2M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$8.7M
2. REDACTED DUE TO PII$8.1M
3. HOUSING AUTH OF COUNTY OF MARION$5.5M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

19.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$627
2BR estimate$826
Median income$47,807
Median home value$89,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

11,856

Median age

39.1

Bachelor's degree+

16.4%

Poverty rate

24.3%

Labor force participation

53.0%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.8%

GDP CAGR

+5.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202012,354
202112,061
202212,096
202312,009
202411,856
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.3B
2021$1.4B
2022$1.6B
2023$1.7B
2024$1.8B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202411,856
202511,761 *
202611,656 *

R² = 84.0% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.8B
2025$1.9B *
2026$2.0B *

R² = 96.8% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$47,807/yr
Median rent$765/mo
Rent share of income19.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$5,437/yr
Mortgage share of income11.4%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate11.2%
State avg5.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation53.0%
Poverty rate24.3%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$89,600
Median monthly rent$765
Price-to-rent ratio9.8x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateWeak
Composite score32/100
Economic growth55/100
Labor market0/100
Population momentum26/100
Overall stability43/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Centralia city, Illinois

City/Town

Part of

Centralia, IL

Nearby locations

Central City, ILWamac, ILJunction City, ILWalnut Hill, ILIrvington, IL