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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Chilhowie, VA

Thriving overall. Jobs is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score85out of 100
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60
100
94
74
100

Population

2,428

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+2.9% YoY

60

$1.3B

Output changed +2.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

100

1.7%

Unemployment is 1.7% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.3%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+7.3% 5-year

94

2,428

Population moved +7.3% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population8,705,170
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

74

18.7%

Median rent consumes 18.7% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.8K per resident

100

$263.7M

$263.7M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$214.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$263.7M

$8.8K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$197.6M
2. Department of Agriculture$18.0M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$17.9M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. SMYTH COUNTY BOARD OF SUPERVISORS$8.5M
2. MOUNT ROGERS COMMUNITY SERVICES$7.3M
3. DOT CONSTRUCTION, INC$6.4M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

18.7%

of median income

1BR estimate$658
2BR estimate$866
Median income$51,429
Median home value$153,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,428

Median age

42.5

Bachelor's degree+

24.3%

Poverty rate

13.1%

Labor force participation

49.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+1.4%

GDP CAGR

+5.3%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,262
20212,060
20222,371
20232,462
20242,428
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.0B
2021$1.1B
2022$1.2B
2023$1.3B
2024$1.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,428
20252,537 *
20262,610 *

R² = 51.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.3B
2025$1.4B *
2026$1.5B *

R² = 98.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$51,429/yr
Median rent$802/mo
Rent share of income18.7%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$9,320/yr
Mortgage share of income18.1%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate1.7%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation49.3%
Poverty rate13.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$153,600
Median monthly rent$802
Price-to-rent ratio16.0x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score83/100
Economic growth60/100
Labor market100/100
Population momentum94/100
Overall stability85/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Chilhowie town, Virginia

City/Town

Part of

Virginia

Nearby locations

Seven Mile Ford, VAAdwolf, VAGlade Spring, VAMcMullin, VASaltville, VA