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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Circle D-Kc Estates, TX

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score79out of 100
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78
71
100
77
81

Population

3,135

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.6% YoY

78

$4.3B

Output changed +5.6% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

71

3.4%

Unemployment is 3.4% for April 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

+13.5% 5-year

100

3,135

Population moved +13.5% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

77

16.4%

Median rent consumes 16.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$5.7K per resident

81

$554.6M

$554.6M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.3B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$554.6M

$5.7K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$428.6M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$91.7M
3. Department of Defense$9.8M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. TEHAMA TECHNICAL SERVICES, LLC$7.8M
2. CEN-TEX FAMILY SERVICES, INC.$6.6M
3. REDACTED DUE TO PII$6.3M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

16.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,055
2BR estimate$1,389
Median income$93,958
Median home value$385,100

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

3,135

Median age

42.3

Bachelor's degree+

20.8%

Poverty rate

9.8%

Labor force participation

66.4%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

April 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+2.6%

GDP CAGR

+9.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,761
20212,450
20222,500
20233,321
20243,135
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.7B
2021$3.0B
2022$3.6B
2023$4.1B
2024$4.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20243,135
20253,319 *
20263,481 *

R² = 44.3% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$4.3B
2025$4.8B *
2026$5.2B *

R² = 98.3% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$93,958/yr
Median rent$1,286/mo
Rent share of income16.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$23,367/yr
Mortgage share of income24.9%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.4%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation66.4%
Poverty rate9.8%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. April 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$385,100
Median monthly rent$1,286
Price-to-rent ratio25.0x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score81/100
Economic growth78/100
Labor market71/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability79/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Circle D-KC Estates CDP, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX

Nearby locations

Camp Swift, TXBastrop, TXPaige, TXMcDade, TXSmithville, TX