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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Coto De Caza, CA

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score70out of 100
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78
66
38
76
94

Population

15,190

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.6% YoY

78

$351.8B

Output changed +5.6% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.8%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

66

3.7%

Unemployment is 3.7% for April 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.3%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

-2.1% 5-year

38

15,190

Population moved -2.1% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population39,287,377
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

76

17.2%

Median rent consumes 17.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$2.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.3K per resident

94

$23.4B

$23.4B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$485.6B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$23.4B

$7.3K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$13.3B
2. Department of Health and Human Services$5.6B
3. Department of Defense$1.5B

Top recipients

Dollars
1. RIVIAN NEW HORIZON, LLC$497.2M
2. UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA IRVINE$349.0M
3. ANDURIL INDUSTRIES, INC.$345.2M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

17.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$2,871
2BR estimate$3,781
Median income$243,816
Median home value$1,535,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

15,190

Median age

45.7

Bachelor's degree+

67.1%

Poverty rate

3.0%

Labor force participation

63.9%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

April 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.4%

GDP CAGR

+5.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202015,509
202115,873
202215,632
202315,363
202415,190
GDP (5 years)
2020$268.8B
2021$293.9B
2022$315.4B
2023$333.1B
2024$351.8B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202415,190
202515,169 *
202615,054 *

R² = 48.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$351.8B
2025$374.1B *
2026$394.6B *

R² = 99.5% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$243,816/yr
Median rent$3,501/mo
Rent share of income17.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$93,178/yr
Mortgage share of income38.2%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.7%
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation63.9%
Poverty rate3.0%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. April 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$1,535,600
Median monthly rent$3,501
Price-to-rent ratio36.6x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score65/100
Economic growth78/100
Labor market66/100
Population momentum38/100
Overall stability70/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Coto de Caza CDP, California

City/Town

Part of

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

Nearby locations

Las Flores, CARancho Santa Margarita, CAMission Viejo, CALadera Ranch, CATrabuco Canyon, CA