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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYThriving

Davidson County, TN

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while housing needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score80out of 100
Compare
93
80
72
66
100

Population

715,388

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.8% YoY

93

$116.9B

Output changed +7.8% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

80

2.8%

Unemployment is 2.8% for April 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.6%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

+3.6% 5-year

72

715,388

Population moved +3.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

66

24.4%

Median rent consumes 24.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$64.6K per resident

100

$46.3B

$46.3B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$46.3B

$64.6K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Department of Health and Human Services$40.6B
2. Social Security Administration$2.5B
3. Department of Education$1.0B

Top recipients

Dollars
1. DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION TENNESSEE$789.5M
2. VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER$528.9M
3. TENNESSEE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY$425.7M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

24.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,297
2BR estimate$1,709
Median income$77,853
Median home value$417,400

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

715,388

Median age

34.6

Bachelor's degree+

48.4%

Poverty rate

13.9%

Labor force participation

72.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

April 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.7%

GDP CAGR

+9.0%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020690,540
2021708,490
2022709,786
2023709,846
2024715,388
GDP (5 years)
2020$75.9B
2021$87.5B
2022$98.2B
2023$108.4B
2024$116.9B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024715,388
2025722,126 *
2026727,231 *

R² = 72.6% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$116.9B
2025$128.3B *
2026$138.5B *

R² = 99.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$77,853/yr
Median rent$1,582/mo
Rent share of income24.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$25,327/yr
Mortgage share of income32.5%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate2.8%
State avg3.6%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation72.3%
Poverty rate13.9%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. April 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$417,400
Median monthly rent$1,582
Price-to-rent ratio22.0x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score82/100
Economic growth93/100
Labor market80/100
Population momentum72/100
Overall stability80/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Davidson County, Tennessee

County

Part of

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN

Nearby locations

Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TNBerry Hill, TNBelle Meade, TNOak Hill, TNForest Hills, TN