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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Dayton, TX

Stable overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score60out of 100
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79
20
86
71
79

Population

9,058

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.8% YoY

79

$3.3B

Output changed +5.8% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

20

7.1%

Unemployment is 7.1% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+6.0% 5-year

86

9,058

Population moved +6.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

71

21.0%

Median rent consumes 21.0% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$5.5K per resident

79

$502.2M

$502.2M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.5B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$502.2M

$5.5K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$393.0M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$67.5M
3. Department of Transportation$20.5M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$20.5M
2. SOUTH CLEVELAND WATER SUPPLY CORP$3.6M
3. HEALTH CENTER OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS$2.9M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

21.0%

of median income

1BR estimate$857
2BR estimate$1,129
Median income$59,691
Median home value$227,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

9,058

Median age

31.4

Bachelor's degree+

18.1%

Poverty rate

20.6%

Labor force participation

59.6%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+1.2%

GDP CAGR

+8.1%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20208,546
20218,569
20228,839
20239,121
20249,058
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.2B
2021$2.5B
2022$2.9B
2023$3.1B
2024$3.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20249,058
20259,299 *
20269,457 *

R² = 87.0% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$3.3B
2025$3.6B *
2026$3.9B *

R² = 98.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$59,691/yr
Median rent$1,045/mo
Rent share of income21.0%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$13,810/yr
Mortgage share of income23.1%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate7.1%
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation59.6%
Poverty rate20.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$227,600
Median monthly rent$1,045
Price-to-rent ratio18.1x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score61/100
Economic growth79/100
Labor market20/100
Population momentum86/100
Overall stability60/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Dayton city, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

Nearby locations

Kenefick, TXLiberty, TXCrosby, TXDayton Lakes, TXOld River-Winfree, TX