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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Duncan, NE

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score76out of 100
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41
84
100
70
100

Population

612

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+0.3% YoY

41

$3.9B

Output changed +0.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth3.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

84

2.8%

Unemployment is 2.8% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.0%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+25.7% 5-year

100

612

Population moved +25.7% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population1,978,707
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

70

21.1%

Median rent consumes 21.1% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.1K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$12.1K per resident

100

$414.6M

$414.6M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$27.7B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$414.6M

$12.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Department of Agriculture$215.7M
2. Social Security Administration$164.9M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$15.6M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. NEBRASKA ELECTRIC G&T COOP$200.0M
2. REDACTED DUE TO PII$14.7M
3. NEBRASKA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$12.7M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

21.1%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,077
2BR estimate$1,418
Median income$74,688
Median home value$162,500

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

612

Median age

21.6

Bachelor's degree+

13.6%

Poverty rate

1.4%

Labor force participation

76.5%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+4.7%

GDP CAGR

+6.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020487
2021632
2022633
2023650
2024612
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.8B
2021$3.2B
2022$3.4B
2023$3.9B
2024$3.9B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024612
2025683 *
2026710 *

R² = 41.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$3.9B
2025$4.3B *
2026$4.5B *

R² = 94.2% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$74,688/yr
Median rent$1,313/mo
Rent share of income21.1%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$9,860/yr
Mortgage share of income13.2%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate2.8%
State avg3.0%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation76.5%
Poverty rate1.4%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$162,500
Median monthly rent$1,313
Price-to-rent ratio10.3x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score72/100
Economic growth41/100
Labor market84/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability76/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Duncan village, Nebraska

City/Town

Part of

Columbus, NE

Nearby locations

Columbus, NEMonroe, NELakeview, NEPlatte Center, NESilver Creek, NE