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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Estill Springs, TN

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score81out of 100
Compare
86
65
100
77
97

Population

2,695

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+6.7% YoY

86

$1.8B

Output changed +6.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

65

4.1%

Unemployment is 4.1% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+30.6% 5-year

100

2,695

Population moved +30.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

77

16.7%

Median rent consumes 16.7% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.8K per resident

97

$333.7M

$333.7M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$333.7M

$7.8K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$276.0M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$36.3M
3. Department of Agriculture$5.9M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$5.7M
2. TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$4.0M
3. THE UNIVERSITY OF THE SOUTH$2.9M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

16.7%

of median income

1BR estimate$677
2BR estimate$891
Median income$59,205
Median home value$204,000

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,695

Median age

46.9

Bachelor's degree+

18.3%

Poverty rate

13.6%

Labor force participation

53.4%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+5.5%

GDP CAGR

+8.3%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,063
20212,024
20222,022
20232,008
20242,695
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.2B
2021$1.4B
2022$1.6B
2023$1.7B
2024$1.8B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,695
20252,537 *
20262,662 *

R² = 43.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.8B
2025$2.0B *
2026$2.2B *

R² = 98.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$59,205/yr
Median rent$825/mo
Rent share of income16.7%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$12,378/yr
Mortgage share of income20.9%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.1%
State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation53.4%
Poverty rate13.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$204,000
Median monthly rent$825
Price-to-rent ratio20.6x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score82/100
Economic growth86/100
Labor market65/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability81/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Estill Springs town, Tennessee

City/Town

Part of

Winchester, TN

Nearby locations

Decherd, TNWinchester, TNTullahoma, TNBelvidere, TNCowan, TN