GDP / Output
+0.6% YoY
43
$4.2B
Output changed +0.6% in 2024.
Vintage date unknown
State growth5.7%
U.S. growth5.3%
Jobs
Unemployment rate
0
11.8%
Unemployment is 11.8% for Latest available.
Vintage date unknown
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Population
-2.5% 5-year
35
316
Population moved -2.5% over the latest ACS window.
Vintage date unknown
State population3,049,391
U.S. population334,922,499
Housing
Rent share of income
57
30.6%
Median rent consumes 30.6% of median household income: Strained.
Vintage date unknown
State rent$947
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
Federal Funds
$7.7K per resident
97
$314.4M
$314.4M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.
Vintage date unknown
State total$34.9B
U.S. total$5.3T
Population and output
Trend Snapshot
Reported share
Industry Breakdown
FY2025
Federal Money
Federal obligations
$314.4M
$7.7K per resident in reported federal flow.
Top agencies
Dollars1. Social Security Administration$199.7M
2. Department of Transportation$31.9M
3. Department of Agriculture$23.5M
Top recipients
Dollars1. ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$30.9M
2. REDACTED DUE TO PII$19.3M
3. MISSISSIPPI CO ARKANSAS EOC INC$12.5M
Strained
Housing Affordability
30.6%
of median income
1BR estimate$515
2BR estimate$678
Median income$24,659
Median home value$82,800
ACS context
Quick Facts
Population
316
Median age
38.5
Bachelor's degree+
5.2%
Poverty rate
37.1%
Labor force participation
61.9%
Prime rate
6.8%
CPI YoY
+3.9%
U.S. GDP YoY
+5.9%
Sources and warnings
Data Provenance
Census ACS 5-year
2024
BLS LAUS / CPS
Latest available
BEA regional CAGDP1
2024
USAspending
FY2025
FRED
2026-06-16
HUD Fair Market Rent
Latest available
Data notes
- HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
5-year compound growth
Historical Trends
Population CAGR
-0.5%
GDP CAGR
+9.6%
Federal flow
5 years
Population (5 years)
2020324
2021344
2022282
2023306
2024316
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.6B
2021$4.0B
2022$4.2B
2023$4.1B
2024$4.2B
2-year linear forecast
Predictive Outlook
Population forecast
2024316
2025298 *
2026293 *
R² = 13.9% · * projected
GDP forecast
2024$4.2B
2025$4.8B *
2026$5.1B *
R² = 57.8% · * projected
Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.
housing affordability breakdown
Cost of Living
Median household income$24,659/yr
Median rent$628/mo
Rent share of income30.6%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$5,024/yr
Mortgage share of income20.4%
Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.
employment snapshot
Job Market
Unemployment rate11.8%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation61.9%
Poverty rate37.1%
Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.
valuation snapshot
Real Estate
Median home value$82,800
Median monthly rent$628
Price-to-rent ratio11.0x
Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.
composite score
Investment Climate
Investment climateWeak
Composite score29/100
Economic growth43/100
Labor market0/100
Population momentum35/100
Overall stability38/100
Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.