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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Fairfield Bay, AR

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score67out of 100
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46
50
94
75
100

Population

2,515

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+1.0% YoY

46

$483.8M

Output changed +1.0% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.7%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

50

5.1%

Unemployment is 5.1% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+7.3% 5-year

94

2,515

Population moved +7.3% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population3,049,391
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

75

17.8%

Median rent consumes 17.8% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$947
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.4K per resident

100

$148.1M

$148.1M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$34.9B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$148.1M

$9.4K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$126.3M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$18.9M
3. Railroad Retirement Board$1.2M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$693.5K
2. REYNOLDS FAMILY PARTNERSHIP$301.2K
3. BUMBLEBEE PARTNERSHIP$290.5K

Affordable

Housing Affordability

17.8%

of median income

1BR estimate$687
2BR estimate$905
Median income$56,594
Median home value$164,800

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,515

Median age

68.4

Bachelor's degree+

30.1%

Poverty rate

11.4%

Labor force participation

28.9%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+1.4%

GDP CAGR

+5.9%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,343
20212,190
20222,291
20232,247
20242,515
GDP (5 years)
2020$363.8M
2021$451.6M
2022$499.3M
2023$479.1M
2024$483.8M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,515
20252,438 *
20262,478 *

R² = 26.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$483.8M
2025$535.7M *
2026$562.5M *

R² = 61.1% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$56,594/yr
Median rent$838/mo
Rent share of income17.8%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$10,000/yr
Mortgage share of income17.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate5.1%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation28.9%
Poverty rate11.4%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$164,800
Median monthly rent$838
Price-to-rent ratio16.4x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score62/100
Economic growth46/100
Labor market50/100
Population momentum94/100
Overall stability67/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Fairfield Bay city, Arkansas

City/Town

Part of

Arkansas

Nearby locations

Edgemont, ARShirley, ARHigden, ARGreers Ferry, ARClinton, AR