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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Farmersville, TX

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score77out of 100
Compare
97
52
100
74
82

Population

4,018

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+8.3% YoY

97

$115.4B

Output changed +8.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

52

4.6%

Unemployment is 4.6% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.4%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

+12.9% 5-year

100

4,018

Population moved +12.9% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

74

18.3%

Median rent consumes 18.3% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$5.9K per resident

82

$6.3B

$6.3B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$6.3B

$5.9K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$3.9B
2. Department of Defense$1.3B
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$621.8M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. RAYTHEON COMPANY$827.5M
2. RAYTHEON COMPANY$230.2M
3. TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$117.6M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

18.3%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,014
2BR estimate$1,335
Median income$81,036
Median home value$289,400

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

4,018

Median age

37.3

Bachelor's degree+

12.3%

Poverty rate

9.1%

Labor force participation

56.0%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+2.5%

GDP CAGR

+9.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20203,560
20213,591
20223,708
20233,851
20244,018
GDP (5 years)
2020$74.1B
2021$83.1B
2022$96.0B
2023$106.5B
2024$115.4B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20244,018
20254,098 *
20264,216 *

R² = 95.3% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$115.4B
2025$126.8B *
2026$137.3B *

R² = 99.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$81,036/yr
Median rent$1,236/mo
Rent share of income18.3%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$17,560/yr
Mortgage share of income21.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.6%
State avg4.4%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation56.0%
Poverty rate9.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$289,400
Median monthly rent$1,236
Price-to-rent ratio19.5x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score81/100
Economic growth97/100
Labor market52/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability77/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Farmersville city, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Nearby locations

Josephine, TXNevada, TXPrinceton, TXBlue Ridge, TXCaddo Mills, TX