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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Flint Hill, VA

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score42out of 100
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52
15
0
69
100

Population

275

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+1.9% YoY

52

$389.8M

Output changed +1.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

15

7.4%

Unemployment is 7.4% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.3%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-33.7% 5-year

0

275

Population moved -33.7% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population8,705,170
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

69

22.2%

Median rent consumes 22.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.5K per resident

100

$62.5M

$62.5M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$214.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$62.5M

$8.5K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$58.4M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$3.5M
3. Railroad Retirement Board$283.1K

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$211.7K
2. ANTIMICROBIAL THERAPY, INC$133.2K
3. COSTELLO FARM & LAWN SERVICE INC$100.0K

Affordable

Housing Affordability

22.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$986
2BR estimate$1,299
Median income$64,922
Median home value$837,500

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

275

Median age

33.1

Bachelor's degree+

38.8%

Poverty rate

5.1%

Labor force participation

58.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-7.9%

GDP CAGR

+5.8%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020415
2021362
2022319
2023245
2024275
GDP (5 years)
2020$294.2M
2021$327.8M
2022$341.2M
2023$382.6M
2024$389.8M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024275
2025204 *
2026164 *

R² = 85.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$389.8M
2025$421.0M *
2026$445.6M *

R² = 96.2% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$64,922/yr
Median rent$1,203/mo
Rent share of income22.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$50,818/yr
Mortgage share of income78.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate7.4%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation58.3%
Poverty rate5.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$837,500
Median monthly rent$1,203
Price-to-rent ratio58.0x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateWeak
Composite score30/100
Economic growth52/100
Labor market15/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability42/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Flint Hill CDP, Virginia

City/Town

Part of

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Nearby locations

Washington, VAChester Gap, VASperryville, VAApple Mountain Lake, VASkyland Estates, VA