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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Germantown, TN

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score66out of 100
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61
45
73
80
90

Population

40,673

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+3.2% YoY

61

$88.4B

Output changed +3.2% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

45

5.1%

Unemployment is 5.1% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.5%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

+3.8% 5-year

73

40,673

Population moved +3.8% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

80

14.5%

Median rent consumes 14.5% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.9K per resident

90

$6.4B

$6.4B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$6.4B

$6.9K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$4.0B
2. Department of Defense$680.4M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$594.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. FEDERAL EXPRESS CORPORATION$337.5M
2. ST JUDE CHILDREN'S RESEARCH HOSPITAL INC$138.0M
3. MEMPHIS HOUSING AUTHORITY$119.1M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

14.5%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,489
2BR estimate$1,961
Median income$149,920
Median home value$470,800

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

40,673

Median age

44.3

Bachelor's degree+

71.9%

Poverty rate

2.7%

Labor force participation

60.8%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-29

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.7%

GDP CAGR

+5.4%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202039,196
202140,955
202241,094
202340,812
202440,673
GDP (5 years)
2020$67.9B
2021$75.4B
2022$80.1B
2023$85.7B
2024$88.4B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202440,673
202541,389 *
202641,670 *

R² = 33.2% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$88.4B
2025$94.9B *
2026$100.0B *

R² = 97.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$149,920/yr
Median rent$1,816/mo
Rent share of income14.5%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$28,567/yr
Mortgage share of income19.1%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate5.1%
State avg3.5%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation60.8%
Poverty rate2.7%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$470,800
Median monthly rent$1,816
Price-to-rent ratio21.6x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score61/100
Economic growth61/100
Labor market45/100
Population momentum73/100
Overall stability66/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Germantown city, Tennessee

City/Town

Part of

Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Nearby locations

Collierville, TNOlive Branch, MSPiperton, TNBartlett, TNMemphis, TN