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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Head Of The Harbor, NY

Thriving overall. Jobs is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score80out of 100
Compare
80
100
21
84
97

Population

1,384

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.9% YoY

80

$139.0B

Output changed +5.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth6.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

100

1.2%

Unemployment is 1.2% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg6.4%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

-4.8% 5-year

21

1,384

Population moved -4.8% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population19,852,366
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

84

11.2%

Median rent consumes 11.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.7K per resident

97

$11.7B

$11.7B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$262.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$11.7B

$7.7K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$8.5B
2. Department of Defense$918.0M
3. Department of Energy$852.3M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. BROOKHAVEN SCIENCE ASSOCIATES LLC$838.4M
2. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION NEW YORK$190.3M
3. THE RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR THE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK$172.2M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

11.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,913
2BR estimate$2,520
Median income$250,001
Median home value$1,167,400

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,384

Median age

44.5

Bachelor's degree+

65.5%

Poverty rate

4.6%

Labor force participation

74.5%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-16

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-1.0%

GDP CAGR

+5.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20201,454
20211,533
20221,501
20231,378
20241,384
GDP (5 years)
2020$108.0B
2021$117.6B
2022$125.1B
2023$131.3B
2024$139.0B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,384
20251,362 *
20261,332 *

R² = 45.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$139.0B
2025$146.9B *
2026$154.5B *

R² = 99.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$250,001/yr
Median rent$2,333/mo
Rent share of income11.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$70,836/yr
Mortgage share of income28.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate1.2%
State avg6.4%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation74.5%
Poverty rate4.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$1,167,400
Median monthly rent$2,333
Price-to-rent ratio41.7x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score73/100
Economic growth80/100
Labor market100/100
Population momentum21/100
Overall stability80/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Head of the Harbor village, New York

City/Town

Part of

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

Nearby locations

Nissequogue, NYSt. James, NYStony Brook, NYStony Brook University, NYVillage of the Branch, NY