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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Hilltop, OH

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score78out of 100
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69
89
51
83
94

Population

640

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.4% YoY

69

$9.7B

Output changed +4.4% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

89

2.5%

Unemployment is 2.5% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.8%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+0.2% 5-year

51

640

Population moved +0.2% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population11,810,293
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

83

12.4%

Median rent consumes 12.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.3K per resident

94

$1.5B

$1.5B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$129.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$1.5B

$7.3K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$1.2B
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$115.9M
3. Department of Transportation$30.9M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. OHIO DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$18.2M
2. TRUMBULL METROPOLITAN HOUSING AUTHORITY$17.5M
3. QBS INC$15.7M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

12.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$562
2BR estimate$740
Median income$66,250
Median home value$107,500

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

640

Median age

35.2

Bachelor's degree+

4.1%

Poverty rate

9.4%

Labor force participation

62.0%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.0%

GDP CAGR

+6.8%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020639
2021751
2022653
2023643
2024640
GDP (5 years)
2020$7.0B
2021$7.8B
2022$8.6B
2023$9.3B
2024$9.7B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024640
2025633 *
2026623 *

R² = 12.0% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$9.7B
2025$10.5B *
2026$11.2B *

R² = 98.8% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$66,250/yr
Median rent$685/mo
Rent share of income12.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$6,523/yr
Mortgage share of income9.8%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate2.5%
State avg4.8%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation62.0%
Poverty rate9.4%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$107,500
Median monthly rent$685
Price-to-rent ratio13.1x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score73/100
Economic growth69/100
Labor market89/100
Population momentum51/100
Overall stability78/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Hilltop CDP, Ohio

City/Town

Part of

Youngstown-Warren, OH

Nearby locations

McDonald, OHNiles, OHMineral Ridge, OHGirard, OHMcKinley Heights, OH