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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Jefferson, TX

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score39out of 100
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54
0
0
74
100

Population

2,131

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+2.2% YoY

54

$393.0M

Output changed +2.2% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

0

8.4%

Unemployment is 8.4% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-15.8% 5-year

0

2,131

Population moved -15.8% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

74

18.9%

Median rent consumes 18.9% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.5K per resident

100

$82.8M

$82.8M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.5B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$82.8M

$8.5K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$71.7M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$9.2M
3. Railroad Retirement Board$571.0K

Top recipients

Dollars
1. JEFFERSON HOUSING AUTHORITY$366.8K
2. JEFFERSON POST-ACUTE 2015 OPCO LLC$350.0K
3. UPSHUR RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE CORPORATION$200.0K

Affordable

Housing Affordability

18.9%

of median income

1BR estimate$535
2BR estimate$705
Median income$41,500
Median home value$148,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,131

Median age

37.1

Bachelor's degree+

27.3%

Poverty rate

21.6%

Labor force participation

59.4%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-3.4%

GDP CAGR

+8.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,531
20212,242
20222,077
20232,111
20242,131
GDP (5 years)
2020$261.0M
2021$329.5M
2022$368.1M
2023$384.6M
2024$393.0M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,131
20251,939 *
20261,846 *

R² = 63.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$393.0M
2025$442.9M *
2026$474.8M *

R² = 87.2% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$41,500/yr
Median rent$653/mo
Rent share of income18.9%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$9,017/yr
Mortgage share of income21.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate8.4%
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation59.4%
Poverty rate21.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$148,600
Median monthly rent$653
Price-to-rent ratio19.0x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateWeak
Composite score26/100
Economic growth54/100
Labor market0/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability39/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Jefferson city, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Texas

Nearby locations

Pine Harbor, TXNesbitt, TXUncertain, TXAvinger, TXMarshall, TX