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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Lake Kiowa, TX

Thriving overall. GDP / Output is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score78out of 100
Compare
100
63
64
76
100

Population

2,476

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+9.6% YoY

100

$3.4B

Output changed +9.6% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

63

3.9%

Unemployment is 3.9% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.4%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

+2.4% 5-year

64

2,476

Population moved +2.4% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

76

17.3%

Median rent consumes 17.3% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.9K per resident

100

$412.7M

$412.7M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$412.7M

$9.9K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$223.7M
2. Department of Transportation$122.9M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$24.2M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$122.9M
2. NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS COLLEGE$16.0M
3. REDACTED DUE TO PII$13.0M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

17.3%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,488
2BR estimate$1,960
Median income$125,956
Median home value$526,900

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,476

Median age

60.3

Bachelor's degree+

50.6%

Poverty rate

2.1%

Labor force participation

55.1%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.5%

GDP CAGR

+10.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,418
20212,409
20222,728
20232,496
20242,476
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.1B
2021$2.2B
2022$2.8B
2023$3.1B
2024$3.4B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,476
20252,566 *
20262,587 *

R² = 6.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$3.4B
2025$3.8B *
2026$4.2B *

R² = 98.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$125,956/yr
Median rent$1,815/mo
Rent share of income17.3%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$31,972/yr
Mortgage share of income25.4%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.9%
State avg4.4%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation55.1%
Poverty rate2.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$526,900
Median monthly rent$1,815
Price-to-rent ratio24.2x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score78/100
Economic growth100/100
Labor market63/100
Population momentum64/100
Overall stability78/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Lake Kiowa CDP, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Gainesville, TX

Nearby locations

Oak Ridge, TXCollinsville, TXRoad Runner, TXWhitesboro, TXTioga, TX