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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Larkspur, CA

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score69out of 100
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66
61
74
64
100

Population

12,854

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+3.9% YoY

66

$36.9B

Output changed +3.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.8%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

61

4.0%

Unemployment is 4.0% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.2%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

+4.0% 5-year

74

12,854

Population moved +4.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population39,287,377
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

64

25.6%

Median rent consumes 25.6% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$2.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.1K per resident

100

$2.4B

$2.4B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$485.6B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$2.4B

$9.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$1.6B
2. Department of Transportation$480.4M
3. Department of Housing and Urban Development$133.2M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION CALIFORNIA$479.1M
2. HOUSING AUTHORITY OF THE COUNTY OF MARIN$94.9M
3. BUCK INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH ON AGING$26.9M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

25.6%

of median income

1BR estimate$2,461
2BR estimate$3,241
Median income$140,417
Median home value$1,996,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

12,854

Median age

51.2

Bachelor's degree+

67.9%

Poverty rate

7.0%

Labor force participation

63.6%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-29

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.8%

GDP CAGR

+3.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202012,363
202112,972
202212,969
202312,856
202412,854
GDP (5 years)
2020$31.0B
2021$33.1B
2022$34.1B
2023$35.5B
2024$36.9B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202412,854
202513,063 *
202613,149 *

R² = 29.4% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$36.9B
2025$38.3B *
2026$39.7B *

R² = 98.8% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$140,417/yr
Median rent$3,001/mo
Rent share of income25.6%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$121,151/yr
Mortgage share of income86.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.0%
State avg5.2%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation63.6%
Poverty rate7.0%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$1,996,600
Median monthly rent$3,001
Price-to-rent ratio55.4x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score67/100
Economic growth66/100
Labor market61/100
Population momentum74/100
Overall stability69/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Larkspur city, California

City/Town

Part of

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

Nearby locations

Corte Madera, CAKentfield, CARoss, CAMill Valley, CAAlto, CA