GDP / Output
+3.9% YoY
66
$36.9B
Output changed +3.9% in 2024.
Vintage date unknown
State growth5.8%
U.S. growth5.3%
PLACEThriving
Lucas Valley-Marinwood, CA
Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.
Overall score72out of 100
66
90
26
71
100
Population
6,473
Data freshness
Unknown
Jobs
Unemployment rate
90
2.4%
Unemployment is 2.4% for Latest available.
Vintage date unknown
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Population
-3.9% 5-year
26
6,473
Population moved -3.9% over the latest ACS window.
Vintage date unknown
State population39,287,377
U.S. population334,922,499
Housing
Rent share of income
71
20.9%
Median rent consumes 20.9% of median household income: Affordable.
Vintage date unknown
State rent$2.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
Federal Funds
$9.1K per resident
100
$2.4B
$2.4B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.
Vintage date unknown
State total$485.6B
U.S. total$5.3T
Population and output
Trend Snapshot
Reported share
Industry Breakdown
FY2025
Federal Money
Federal obligations
$2.4B
$9.1K per resident in reported federal flow.
Top agencies
Dollars1. Social Security Administration$1.6B
2. Department of Transportation$480.4M
3. Department of Housing and Urban Development$133.2M
Top recipients
Dollars1. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION CALIFORNIA$479.1M
2. HOUSING AUTHORITY OF THE COUNTY OF MARIN$94.9M
3. BUCK INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH ON AGING$26.9M
Affordable
Housing Affordability
20.9%
of median income
1BR estimate$2,871
2BR estimate$3,781
Median income$200,761
Median home value$1,445,600
ACS context
Quick Facts
Population
6,473
Median age
49.8
Bachelor's degree+
70.0%
Poverty rate
4.2%
Labor force participation
56.8%
Prime rate
6.8%
CPI YoY
+3.9%
U.S. GDP YoY
+5.9%
Sources and warnings
Data Provenance
Census ACS 5-year
2024
BLS LAUS / CPS
Latest available
BEA regional CAGDP1
2024
USAspending
FY2025
FRED
2026-06-16
HUD Fair Market Rent
Latest available
Data notes
- HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
5-year compound growth
Historical Trends
Population CAGR
-0.8%
GDP CAGR
+3.5%
Federal flow
5 years
Population (5 years)
20206,738
20216,546
20226,334
20236,331
20246,473
GDP (5 years)
2020$31.0B
2021$33.1B
2022$34.1B
2023$35.5B
2024$36.9B
2-year linear forecast
Predictive Outlook
Population forecast
20246,473
20256,261 *
20266,186 *
R² = 48.5% · * projected
GDP forecast
2024$36.9B
2025$38.3B *
2026$39.7B *
R² = 98.8% · * projected
Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.
housing affordability breakdown
Cost of Living
Median household income$200,761/yr
Median rent$3,501/mo
Rent share of income20.9%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$87,717/yr
Mortgage share of income43.7%
Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.
employment snapshot
Job Market
Unemployment rate2.4%
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation56.8%
Poverty rate4.2%
Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.
valuation snapshot
Real Estate
Median home value$1,445,600
Median monthly rent$3,501
Price-to-rent ratio34.4x
High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.
composite score
Investment Climate
Investment climateModerate
Composite score66/100
Economic growth66/100
Labor market90/100
Population momentum26/100
Overall stability72/100
Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.