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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYThriving

Maricopa County, AZ

Thriving overall. GDP / Output is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score68out of 100
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93
49
70
68
NA

Population

4,559,748

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.7% YoY

93

$419.3B

Output changed +7.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth7.5%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

49

4.8%

Unemployment is 4.8% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.9%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

+3.3% 5-year

70

4,559,748

Population moved +3.3% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,378,838
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

68

23.0%

Median rent consumes 23.0% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.5K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

Unavailable per resident

NA

Unavailable

Federal spending data is unavailable for this geography.

Vintage date unknown

State total$112.1B
U.S. total$5.3T
USAspending federal inflow temporarily unavailable.

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

Unavailable

No federal obligations were reported for this geography.

Top agencies

Dollars

No agencies reported.

Top recipients

Dollars

No recipients reported.

Affordable

Housing Affordability

23.0%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,401
2BR estimate$1,845
Median income$89,300
Median home value$452,800

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

4,559,748

Median age

37.6

Bachelor's degree+

36.7%

Poverty rate

11.0%

Labor force participation

65.1%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-29

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • USAspending federal inflow temporarily unavailable.
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.7%

GDP CAGR

+8.2%

Federal flow

N/A

Population (5 years)
20204,412,779
20214,367,186
20224,430,871
20234,491,987
20244,559,748
GDP (5 years)
2020$283.1B
2021$319.0B
2022$359.3B
2023$389.4B
2024$419.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20244,559,748
20254,578,136 *
20264,620,010 *

R² = 78.3% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$419.3B
2025$456.8B *
2026$491.1B *

R² = 99.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$89,300/yr
Median rent$1,708/mo
Rent share of income23.0%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$27,475/yr
Mortgage share of income30.8%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.8%
State avg4.9%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation65.1%
Poverty rate11.0%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$452,800
Median monthly rent$1,708
Price-to-rent ratio22.1x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score71/100
Economic growth93/100
Labor market49/100
Population momentum70/100
Overall stability68/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Maricopa County, Arizona

County

Part of

Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Nearby locations

Goodyear, AZAvondale, AZBuckeye, AZCitrus Park, AZLitchfield Park, AZ