Skip to main content

EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

Saved
PLACEThriving

Mcnair, VA

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while housing needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score85out of 100
Compare
NA
87
100
69
100

Population

22,655

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

Unavailable YoY

NA

Unavailable

Local GDP is unavailable for this geography.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

87

2.3%

Unemployment is 2.3% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

+9.0% 5-year

100

22,655

Population moved +9.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population8,705,170
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

69

22.4%

Median rent consumes 22.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$41.6K per resident

100

$47.8B

$47.8B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$214.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

Industry GDP mix is unavailable for this geography.

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$47.8B

$41.6K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Department of Defense$19.7B
2. Social Security Administration$4.5B
3. Department of Homeland Security$3.9B

Top recipients

Dollars
1. BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC$2.0B
2. LEIDOS, INC.$1.9B
3. GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC.$1.7B

Affordable

Housing Affordability

22.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,875
2BR estimate$2,470
Median income$122,778
Median home value$595,800

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

22,655

Median age

31.9

Bachelor's degree+

68.8%

Poverty rate

6.1%

Labor force participation

78.9%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-16

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+1.7%

GDP CAGR

Unavailable

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202020,776
202120,980
202222,187
202322,451
202422,655

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202422,655
202523,379 *
202623,901 *

R² = 90.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$122,778/yr
Median rent$2,287/mo
Rent share of income22.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$36,152/yr
Mortgage share of income29.4%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate2.3%
State avg4.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation78.9%
Poverty rate6.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$595,800
Median monthly rent$2,287
Price-to-rent ratio21.7x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score90/100
Economic growthN/A
Labor market87/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability85/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

McNair CDP, Virginia

City/Town

Part of

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Nearby locations

Hutchison, VAFloris, VAHerndon, VAOak Grove, VASully Square, VA