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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Mcneil, AR

Thriving overall. Jobs is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score71out of 100
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52
100
0
81
100

Population

419

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+1.9% YoY

52

$1.3B

Output changed +1.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.7%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

100

0.0%

Unemployment is 0.0% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-11.6% 5-year

0

419

Population moved -11.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population3,049,391
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

81

13.7%

Median rent consumes 13.7% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$947
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.1K per resident

100

$208.5M

$208.5M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$34.9B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$208.5M

$9.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$127.8M
2. Department of Defense$33.3M
3. Department of Education$19.2M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. AMERICAN FUEL CELL AND COATED FABRICS COMPANY, LLC$33.3M
2. SOUTHERN ARKANSAS UNIVERSITY$17.5M
3. ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$8.3M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

13.7%

of median income

1BR estimate$355
2BR estimate$468
Median income$37,895
Median home value$72,800

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

419

Median age

39.8

Bachelor's degree+

33.1%

Poverty rate

27.4%

Labor force participation

63.1%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-2.4%

GDP CAGR

+7.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020474
2021496
2022489
2023406
2024419
GDP (5 years)
2020$902.0M
2021$1.1B
2022$1.2B
2023$1.3B
2024$1.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024419
2025397 *
2026377 *

R² = 58.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.3B
2025$1.5B *
2026$1.6B *

R² = 82.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$37,895/yr
Median rent$433/mo
Rent share of income13.7%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$4,417/yr
Mortgage share of income11.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate0.0%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation63.1%
Poverty rate27.4%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$72,800
Median monthly rent$433
Price-to-rent ratio14.0x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score58/100
Economic growth52/100
Labor market100/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability71/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

McNeil city, Arkansas

City/Town

Part of

Magnolia, AR

Nearby locations

Magnolia, ARWaldo, ARStephens, ARWillisville, ARBuckner, AR