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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYThriving

Middlesex County, NJ

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score71out of 100
Compare
69
62
84
72
81

Population

871,290

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.3% YoY

69

$86.7B

Output changed +4.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.8%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

62

4.0%

Unemployment is 4.0% for April 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.8%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

+5.6% 5-year

84

871,290

Population moved +5.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population9,343,809
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

72

20.1%

Median rent consumes 20.1% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.7K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$5.7K per resident

81

$4.9B

$4.9B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$96.5B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$4.9B

$5.7K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$3.8B
2. Department of Energy$260.7M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$210.0M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIVERSITY$250.9M
2. THE TRUSTEES OF PRINCETON UNIVERSITY$224.3M
3. TRANSPORTATION, NEW JERSEY DEPT OF$81.5M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

20.1%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,534
2BR estimate$2,021
Median income$111,549
Median home value$462,900

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

871,290

Median age

39.5

Bachelor's degree+

45.6%

Poverty rate

8.6%

Labor force participation

67.2%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

April 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+1.1%

GDP CAGR

+5.9%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020825,015
2021858,770
2022860,147
2023861,535
2024871,290
GDP (5 years)
2020$65.2B
2021$72.7B
2022$78.5B
2023$83.1B
2024$86.7B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024871,290
2025883,946 *
2026893,477 *

R² = 72.8% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$86.7B
2025$93.3B *
2026$98.6B *

R² = 98.0% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$111,549/yr
Median rent$1,871/mo
Rent share of income20.1%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$28,088/yr
Mortgage share of income25.2%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.0%
State avg4.8%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation67.2%
Poverty rate8.6%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. April 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$462,900
Median monthly rent$1,871
Price-to-rent ratio20.6x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score71/100
Economic growth69/100
Labor market62/100
Population momentum84/100
Overall stability71/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Middlesex County, New Jersey

County

Part of

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

Nearby locations

Milltown, NJSouth River, NJSpotswood, NJNew Brunswick, NJHelmetta, NJ