Skip to main content

EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

Saved
PLACEThriving

Nocatee, FL

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score72out of 100
Compare
89
49
100
59
100

Population

27,442

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.1% YoY

89

$18.6B

Output changed +7.1% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth6.3%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

49

4.8%

Unemployment is 4.8% for July 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.6%
U.S. avg4.1%

Population

+62.2% 5-year

100

27,442

Population moved +62.2% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population22,416,077
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

59

29.6%

Median rent consumes 29.6% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.7K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.5K per resident

100

$2.6B

$2.6B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$325.0B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$2.6B

$9.5K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$2.0B
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$408.5M
3. Department of Defense$104.0M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. AMERICAN ROLL-ON ROLL-OFF CARRIER, LLC$86.4M
2. STATE OF FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$51.9M
3. FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS AFFAIRS$14.8M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

29.6%

of median income

1BR estimate$2,871
2BR estimate$3,781
Median income$141,868
Median home value$648,800

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

27,442

Median age

40.8

Bachelor's degree+

71.8%

Poverty rate

6.2%

Labor force participation

55.5%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.0%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.6%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

July 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-09-15

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+10.2%

GDP CAGR

+10.1%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202016,914
202119,601
202222,950
202325,581
202427,442
GDP (5 years)
2020$11.5B
2021$13.1B
2022$15.2B
2023$17.4B
2024$18.6B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202427,442
202530,608 *
202633,312 *

R² = 99.1% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$18.6B
2025$20.7B *
2026$22.5B *

R² = 99.3% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$141,868/yr
Median rent$3,501/mo
Rent share of income29.6%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$39,368/yr
Mortgage share of income27.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.8%
State avg4.6%
U.S. avg4.1%
Labor force participation55.5%
Poverty rate6.2%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. July 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$648,800
Median monthly rent$3,501
Price-to-rent ratio15.4x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score77/100
Economic growth89/100
Labor market49/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability72/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Nocatee CDP, Florida

City/Town

Part of

Jacksonville, FL

Nearby locations

Sawgrass, FLPalm Valley, FLWorld Golf Village, FLVilano Beach, FLFruit Cove, FL