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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Pencil Bluff, AR

Thriving overall. Jobs is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as unavailable for a median-income household.

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Overall score76out of 100
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86
100
0
NA
100

Population

51

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+6.7% YoY

86

$209.0M

Output changed +6.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.7%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

100

0.0%

Unemployment is 0.0% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-67.5% 5-year

0

51

Population moved -67.5% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population3,049,391
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

NA

Unavailable

Housing affordability could not be calculated.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$947
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.3K per resident

100

$70.4M

$70.4M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$34.9B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$70.4M

$8.3K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$60.5M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$7.2M
3. Railroad Retirement Board$1.3M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$706.3K
2. COUNTY OF MONTGOMERY$249.0K
3. RAMOS FARMS LLC$225.0K

Unavailable

Housing Affordability

Unavailable

of median income

1BR estimateUnavailable
2BR estimateUnavailable
Median incomeUnavailable
Median home valueUnavailable

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

51

Median age

58.8

Bachelor's degree+

100.0%

Poverty rate

0.0%

Labor force participation

100.0%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-20.1%

GDP CAGR

+7.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020157
202144
202239
202328
202451
GDP (5 years)
2020$145.3M
2021$163.0M
2022$182.0M
2023$195.9M
2024$209.0M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202451
2025-5 *
2026-27 *

R² = 46.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$209.0M
2025$227.2M *
2026$243.2M *

R² = 99.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing + income analysis

Cost of Living

Income and housing cost data unavailable for this geography.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate0.0%
State avg4.1%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation100.0%
Poverty rate0.0%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation indicators

Real Estate

Home value and rent data unavailable for this geography.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score70/100
Economic growth86/100
Labor market100/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability76/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Pencil Bluff CDP, Arkansas

City/Town

Part of

Arkansas

Nearby locations

Oden, ARMount Ida, ARBlack Springs, ARNorman, ARCaddo Gap, AR