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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYStable

Pima County, AZ

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score64out of 100
Compare
79
36
63
71
100

Population

1,060,490

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.7% YoY

79

$66.7B

Output changed +5.7% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth7.5%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

36

5.7%

Unemployment is 5.7% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.9%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

+2.1% 5-year

63

1,060,490

Population moved +2.1% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,378,838
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

71

20.7%

Median rent consumes 20.7% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.5K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$20.1K per resident

100

$21.0B

$21.0B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State totalUnavailable
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$21.0B

$20.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Department of Defense$11.8B
2. Social Security Administration$6.2B
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$1.1B

Top recipients

Dollars

No recipients reported.

Affordable

Housing Affordability

20.7%

of median income

1BR estimate$994
2BR estimate$1,309
Median income$70,315
Median home value$319,700

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,060,490

Median age

39.8

Bachelor's degree+

36.8%

Poverty rate

14.3%

Labor force participation

58.0%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-29

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.4%

GDP CAGR

+6.4%

Federal flow

N/A

Population (5 years)
20201,038,476
20211,035,063
20221,042,393
20231,049,947
20241,060,490
GDP (5 years)
2020$48.9B
2021$53.3B
2022$57.7B
2023$63.1B
2024$66.7B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,060,490
20251,062,947 *
20261,068,839 *

R² = 84.2% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$66.7B
2025$71.6B *
2026$76.1B *

R² = 99.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$70,315/yr
Median rent$1,212/mo
Rent share of income20.7%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$19,399/yr
Mortgage share of income27.6%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate5.7%
State avg4.9%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation58.0%
Poverty rate14.3%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$319,700
Median monthly rent$1,212
Price-to-rent ratio22.0x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score61/100
Economic growth79/100
Labor market36/100
Population momentum63/100
Overall stability64/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Pima County, Arizona

County

Part of

Tucson, AZ

Nearby locations

Comobabi, AZKo Vaya, AZHaivana Nakya, AZNolic, AZChiawuli Tak, AZ