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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Runaway Bay, TX

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score55out of 100
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8
60
48
79
87

Population

1,717

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

-4.4% YoY

8

$4.2B

Output changed -4.4% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.0%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

60

4.4%

Unemployment is 4.4% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-0.4% 5-year

48

1,717

Population moved -0.4% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population30,188,424
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

79

15.2%

Median rent consumes 15.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.4K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.5K per resident

87

$443.6M

$443.6M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$311.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$443.6M

$6.5K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$362.2M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$66.6M
3. Railroad Retirement Board$7.3M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. CITY OF RUNAWAY BAY$1.8M
2. TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$1.4M
3. REDACTED DUE TO PII$1.0M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

15.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,006
2BR estimate$1,325
Median income$96,875
Median home value$307,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,717

Median age

54.3

Bachelor's degree+

33.5%

Poverty rate

2.1%

Labor force participation

61.7%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-31

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.1%

GDP CAGR

+8.9%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20201,724
20211,611
20221,648
20231,522
20241,717
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.8B
2021$3.4B
2022$4.4B
2023$4.4B
2024$4.2B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,717
20251,614 *
20261,603 *

R² = 3.8% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$4.2B
2025$5.0B *
2026$5.4B *

R² = 74.0% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$96,875/yr
Median rent$1,227/mo
Rent share of income15.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$18,665/yr
Mortgage share of income19.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.4%
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation61.7%
Poverty rate2.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$307,600
Median monthly rent$1,227
Price-to-rent ratio20.9x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score41/100
Economic growth8/100
Labor market60/100
Population momentum48/100
Overall stability55/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Runaway Bay city, Texas

City/Town

Part of

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Nearby locations

Lake Bridgeport, TXBridgeport, TXChico, TXParadise, TXAlvord, TX