GDP / Output
+2.9% YoY
59
$2.4B
Output changed +2.9% in 2024.
Vintage date unknown
State growth7.5%
U.S. growth5.3%
Jobs
Unemployment rate
40
5.4%
Unemployment is 5.4% for June 2026.
Vintage date unknown
State avg4.9%
U.S. avg4.2%
Population
-32.9% 5-year
0
811
Population moved -32.9% over the latest ACS window.
Vintage date unknown
State population7,378,838
U.S. population334,922,499
Housing
Rent share of income
73
19.1%
Median rent consumes 19.1% of median household income: Affordable.
Vintage date unknown
State rent$1.5K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
Federal Funds
$11.8K per resident
100
$627.0M
$627.0M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.
Vintage date unknown
State total$112.1B
U.S. total$5.3T
Population and output
Trend Snapshot
Reported share
Industry Breakdown
FY2025
Federal Money
Federal obligations
$627.0M
$11.8K per resident in reported federal flow.
Top agencies
Dollars1. Social Security Administration$446.5M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$44.3M
3. Department of the Interior$38.6M
Top recipients
Dollars1. SAN CARLOS APACHE TRIBAL COUNCIL$49.4M
2. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION ARIZONA$33.0M
3. SAN CARLOS UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT$13.7M
Affordable
Housing Affordability
19.1%
of median income
1BR estimate$757
2BR estimate$997
Median income$57,902
Median home value$236,800
ACS context
Quick Facts
Population
811
Median age
53.7
Bachelor's degree+
14.9%
Poverty rate
9.2%
Labor force participation
45.6%
Prime rate
6.8%
CPI YoY
+3.2%
U.S. GDP YoY
+6.5%
Sources and warnings
Data Provenance
Census ACS 5-year
2024
BLS LAUS / CPS
June 2026
BEA regional CAGDP1
2024
USAspending
FY2025
FRED
2026-07-30
HUD Fair Market Rent
Latest available
Data notes
- HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
5-year compound growth
Historical Trends
Population CAGR
-7.7%
GDP CAGR
+5.7%
Federal flow
5 years
Population (5 years)
20201,208
20211,326
20221,325
2023966
2024811
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.8B
2021$2.2B
2022$2.2B
2023$2.3B
2024$2.4B
2-year linear forecast
Predictive Outlook
Population forecast
2024811
2025781 *
2026666 *
R² = 63.1% · * projected
GDP forecast
2024$2.4B
2025$2.6B *
2026$2.7B *
R² = 87.9% · * projected
Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.
housing affordability breakdown
Cost of Living
Median household income$57,902/yr
Median rent$923/mo
Rent share of income19.1%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$14,369/yr
Mortgage share of income24.8%
Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.
employment snapshot
Job Market
Unemployment rate5.4%
State avg4.9%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation45.6%
Poverty rate9.2%
Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.
valuation snapshot
Real Estate
Median home value$236,800
Median monthly rent$923
Price-to-rent ratio21.4x
High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.
composite score
Investment Climate
Investment climateModerate
Composite score41/100
Economic growth59/100
Labor market40/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability52/100
Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.