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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Smithton, MO

Thriving overall. Jobs is the clearest support signal, while housing needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score80out of 100
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73
90
78
72
86

Population

535

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.9% YoY

73

$3.3B

Output changed +4.9% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

90

2.4%

Unemployment is 2.4% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+4.7% 5-year

78

535

Population moved +4.7% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population6,191,814
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

72

20.2%

Median rent consumes 20.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.4K per resident

86

$274.4M

$274.4M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$93.8B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$274.4M

$6.4K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$203.0M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$31.9M
3. Department of Education$11.0M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$10.9M
2. COMMUNITY COLLEGE DISTRICT OF MID MISSOURI$10.6M
3. REGIONAL HEALTH CARE CLINIC, INC.$4.8M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

20.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$762
2BR estimate$1,003
Median income$55,288
Median home value$116,400

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

535

Median age

36.7

Bachelor's degree+

12.8%

Poverty rate

5.3%

Labor force participation

65.9%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.9%

GDP CAGR

+9.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020511
2021491
2022514
2023509
2024535
GDP (5 years)
2020$2.1B
2021$2.3B
2022$2.6B
2023$3.2B
2024$3.3B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024535
2025532 *
2026538 *

R² = 44.3% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$3.3B
2025$3.7B *
2026$4.1B *

R² = 95.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$55,288/yr
Median rent$929/mo
Rent share of income20.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$7,063/yr
Mortgage share of income12.8%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate2.4%
State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation65.9%
Poverty rate5.3%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$116,400
Median monthly rent$929
Price-to-rent ratio10.4x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score80/100
Economic growth73/100
Labor market90/100
Population momentum78/100
Overall stability80/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Smithton city, Missouri

City/Town

Part of

Sedalia, MO

Nearby locations

Otterville, MOSedalia, MOSyracuse, MOHughesville, MOCole Camp, MO