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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Smyrna, TN

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while housing needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score82out of 100
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88
80
100
70
77

Population

56,692

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.0% YoY

88

$27.6B

Output changed +7.0% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

80

3.1%

Unemployment is 3.1% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+11.6% 5-year

100

56,692

Population moved +11.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

70

21.4%

Median rent consumes 21.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$5.3K per resident

77

$1.8B

$1.8B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$1.8B

$5.3K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$1.3B
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$356.6M
3. Department of Education$45.9M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE UNIVERSITY$51.8M
2. FEDEX SUPPLY CHAIN DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM, INC.$36.7M
3. TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$24.3M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

21.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,198
2BR estimate$1,578
Median income$81,926
Median home value$358,300

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

56,692

Median age

34.1

Bachelor's degree+

27.8%

Poverty rate

12.5%

Labor force participation

73.2%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+2.2%

GDP CAGR

+8.1%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202050,820
202152,401
202253,760
202355,066
202456,692
GDP (5 years)
2020$18.7B
2021$21.1B
2022$23.5B
2023$25.8B
2024$27.6B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202456,692
202558,071 *
202659,511 *

R² = 99.9% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$27.6B
2025$30.1B *
2026$32.4B *

R² = 99.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$81,926/yr
Median rent$1,461/mo
Rent share of income21.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$21,741/yr
Mortgage share of income26.5%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.1%
State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation73.2%
Poverty rate12.5%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$358,300
Median monthly rent$1,461
Price-to-rent ratio20.4x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score87/100
Economic growth88/100
Labor market80/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability82/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Smyrna town, Tennessee

City/Town

Part of

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN

Nearby locations

La Vergne, TNNolensville, TNWalterhill, TNMurfreesboro, TNRural Hill, TN