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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

South Fulton, TN

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score69out of 100
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30
71
100
70
94

Population

2,379

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

-1.3% YoY

30

$1.7B

Output changed -1.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

71

3.7%

Unemployment is 3.7% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+12.2% 5-year

100

2,379

Population moved +12.2% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

70

21.6%

Median rent consumes 21.6% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.4K per resident

94

$228.3M

$228.3M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$228.3M

$7.4K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$188.7M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$15.8M
3. Department of Agriculture$14.8M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$13.6M
2. UNION CITY HOUSING AUTHORITY$1.8M
3. TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$1.1M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

21.6%

of median income

1BR estimate$648
2BR estimate$853
Median income$43,942
Median home value$83,400

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,379

Median age

38.5

Bachelor's degree+

17.4%

Poverty rate

29.2%

Labor force participation

57.6%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+2.3%

GDP CAGR

+5.5%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,120
20212,137
20222,285
20232,106
20242,379
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.3B
2021$1.5B
2022$1.6B
2023$1.7B
2024$1.7B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,379
20252,352 *
20262,400 *

R² = 40.7% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.7B
2025$1.9B *
2026$2.0B *

R² = 90.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$43,942/yr
Median rent$790/mo
Rent share of income21.6%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$5,061/yr
Mortgage share of income11.5%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.7%
State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation57.6%
Poverty rate29.2%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$83,400
Median monthly rent$790
Price-to-rent ratio8.8x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score64/100
Economic growth30/100
Labor market71/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability69/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

South Fulton city, Tennessee

City/Town

Part of

Union City, TN

Nearby locations

Fulton, KYWater Valley, KYDukedom, TNCayce, KYUnion City, TN