Skip to main content

EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

Saved
PLACEThriving

St. Paul, KS

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while gdp / output needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score70out of 100
Compare
41
63
100
73
93

Population

631

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+0.2% YoY

41

$787.6M

Output changed +0.2% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth2.5%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

63

4.2%

Unemployment is 4.2% for June 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.9%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+16.2% 5-year

100

631

Population moved +16.2% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population2,947,197
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

73

19.4%

Median rent consumes 19.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.1K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.2K per resident

93

$114.6M

$114.6M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$31.0B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$114.6M

$7.2K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$86.7M
2. Department of Transportation$7.9M
3. Department of Agriculture$6.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. KANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$7.9M
2. REDACTED DUE TO PII$6.5M
3. NEOSHO CO COMM COLL$3.0M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

19.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$558
2BR estimate$734
Median income$42,083
Median home value$91,700

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

631

Median age

47.9

Bachelor's degree+

18.7%

Poverty rate

6.9%

Labor force participation

49.1%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

June 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+3.0%

GDP CAGR

+5.6%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020543
2021624
2022604
2023665
2024631
GDP (5 years)
2020$600.7M
2021$663.4M
2022$711.4M
2023$785.8M
2024$787.6M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024631
2025679 *
2026700 *

R² = 57.9% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$787.6M
2025$858.6M *
2026$908.3M *

R² = 95.1% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$42,083/yr
Median rent$680/mo
Rent share of income19.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$5,564/yr
Mortgage share of income13.2%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.2%
State avg3.9%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation49.1%
Poverty rate6.9%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. June 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$91,700
Median monthly rent$680
Price-to-rent ratio11.2x

Low price-to-rent ratio — buying may be more favorable than renting in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score66/100
Economic growth41/100
Labor market63/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability70/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

St. Paul city, Kansas

City/Town

Part of

Kansas

Nearby locations

Erie, KSSouth Mound, KSWalnut, KSGalesburg, KSStark, KS