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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Tonawanda, NY

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score60out of 100
Compare
70
27
60
76
100

Population

15,030

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.4% YoY

70

$81.1B

Output changed +4.4% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth6.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

27

6.2%

Unemployment is 6.2% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.4%
U.S. avg4.1%

Population

+1.6% 5-year

60

15,030

Population moved +1.6% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population19,852,366
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

76

17.2%

Median rent consumes 17.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$9.6K per resident

100

$9.1B

$9.1B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$262.2B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$9.1B

$9.6K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$5.3B
2. Department of Health and Human Services$2.3B
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$471.4M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION NEW YORK$149.9M
2. THE RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR THE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK$102.7M
3. MOOG MILITARY AIRCRAFT LLC$92.3M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

17.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$685
2BR estimate$902
Median income$58,326
Median home value$173,600

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

15,030

Median age

43.5

Bachelor's degree+

28.5%

Poverty rate

13.8%

Labor force participation

61.2%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.0%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.6%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-09-15

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+0.3%

GDP CAGR

+5.6%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
202014,790
202115,132
202215,096
202315,044
202415,030
GDP (5 years)
2020$61.9B
2021$66.8B
2022$72.3B
2023$77.7B
2024$81.1B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

202415,030
202515,136 *
202615,175 *

R² = 21.4% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$81.1B
2025$86.8B *
2026$91.7B *

R² = 99.4% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$58,326/yr
Median rent$835/mo
Rent share of income17.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$10,534/yr
Mortgage share of income18.1%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate6.2%
State avg4.4%
U.S. avg4.1%
Labor force participation61.2%
Poverty rate13.8%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$173,600
Median monthly rent$835
Price-to-rent ratio17.3x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score55/100
Economic growth70/100
Labor market27/100
Population momentum60/100
Overall stability60/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Tonawanda city, New York

City/Town

Part of

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Nearby locations

Tonawanda Town, NYNorth Tonawanda, NYKenmore, NYGrandyle Village, NYUniversity at Buffalo, NY