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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEStable

Trafford, AL

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while jobs needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score42out of 100
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69
3
8
66
100

Population

493

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.3% YoY

69

$65.5B

Output changed +4.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.1%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

3

8.2%

Unemployment is 8.2% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.2%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-7.0% 5-year

8

493

Population moved -7.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population5,086,768
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

66

24.4%

Median rent consumes 24.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$11.9K per resident

100

$8.1B

$8.1B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$71.6B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$8.1B

$11.9K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$3.3B
2. Department of Health and Human Services$3.1B
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$500.3M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM$308.2M
2. ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$170.7M
3. BRASFIELD & GORRIE LLC$158.9M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

24.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$390
2BR estimate$513
Median income$23,333
Median home value$116,500

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

493

Median age

38.8

Bachelor's degree+

10.4%

Poverty rate

41.2%

Labor force participation

41.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-1.4%

GDP CAGR

+6.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020530
2021446
2022511
2023560
2024493
GDP (5 years)
2020$48.6B
2021$53.5B
2022$58.7B
2023$62.9B
2024$65.5B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024493
2025520 *
2026524 *

R² = 2.2% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$65.5B
2025$70.8B *
2026$75.1B *

R² = 98.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$23,333/yr
Median rent$475/mo
Rent share of income24.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$7,069/yr
Mortgage share of income30.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate8.2%
State avg3.2%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation41.3%
Poverty rate41.2%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$116,500
Median monthly rent$475
Price-to-rent ratio20.4x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateWeak
Composite score34/100
Economic growth69/100
Labor market3/100
Population momentum8/100
Overall stability42/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Trafford town, Alabama

City/Town

Part of

Birmingham, AL

Nearby locations

County Line, ALWarrior, ALKimberly, ALHayden, ALMorris, AL