Skip to main content

EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

Saved
PLACEThriving

Valley Forge, TN

Thriving overall. Population is the clearest support signal, while housing needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score92out of 100
Compare
90
98
100
79
100

Population

2,136

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.3% YoY

90

$1.6B

Output changed +7.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

98

1.9%

Unemployment is 1.9% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

+18.3% 5-year

100

2,136

Population moved +18.3% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

79

15.4%

Median rent consumes 15.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$8.2K per resident

100

$462.9M

$462.9M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$462.9M

$8.2K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$353.6M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$50.3M
3. Department of Transportation$16.5M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$16.5M
2. MLU SERVICES, LLC$9.1M
3. UPPER EAST TENNESSEE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT AGENCY, INC.$5.8M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

15.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$573
2BR estimate$755
Median income$54,631
Median home value$158,100

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

2,136

Median age

54.2

Bachelor's degree+

10.0%

Poverty rate

15.1%

Labor force participation

56.2%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

+3.4%

GDP CAGR

+6.1%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20201,805
20212,021
20222,042
20231,900
20242,136
GDP (5 years)
2020$1.2B
2021$1.2B
2022$1.3B
2023$1.4B
2024$1.6B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20242,136
20252,143 *
20262,197 *

R² = 43.8% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$1.6B
2025$1.7B *
2026$1.8B *

R² = 99.8% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$54,631/yr
Median rent$699/mo
Rent share of income15.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$9,593/yr
Mortgage share of income17.6%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate1.9%
State avg4.7%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation56.2%
Poverty rate15.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$158,100
Median monthly rent$699
Price-to-rent ratio18.8x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score95/100
Economic growth90/100
Labor market98/100
Population momentum100/100
Overall stability92/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Valley Forge CDP, Tennessee

City/Town

Part of

Johnson City, TN

Nearby locations

Hampton, TNElizabethton, TNBiltmore, TNCentral, TNPine Crest, TN