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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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PLACEThriving

Warsaw, MO

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score68out of 100
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93
71
0
71
100

Population

1,980

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+7.8% YoY

93

$613.0M

Output changed +7.8% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth4.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

71

3.7%

Unemployment is 3.7% for Latest available.

Vintage date unknown

State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%

Population

-16.8% 5-year

0

1,980

Population moved -16.8% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population6,191,814
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

71

21.1%

Median rent consumes 21.1% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$11.3K per resident

100

$218.7M

$218.7M in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$93.8B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$218.7M

$11.3K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$168.8M
2. Department of Veterans Affairs$25.6M
3. Department of Agriculture$14.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. REDACTED DUE TO PII$14.6M
2. MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$2.3M
3. ARROW NETWORKS$641.2K

Affordable

Housing Affordability

21.1%

of median income

1BR estimate$596
2BR estimate$785
Median income$41,413
Median home value$152,000

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

1,980

Median age

53.3

Bachelor's degree+

14.9%

Poverty rate

20.1%

Labor force participation

37.5%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.5%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

Latest available

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-30

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-3.6%

GDP CAGR

+7.7%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20202,380
20212,129
20222,326
20232,064
20241,980
GDP (5 years)
2020$423.5M
2021$464.6M
2022$555.4M
2023$568.7M
2024$613.0M

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20241,980
20251,916 *
20261,830 *

R² = 63.8% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$613.0M
2025$670.0M *
2026$718.3M *

R² = 95.1% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$41,413/yr
Median rent$727/mo
Rent share of income21.1%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$9,223/yr
Mortgage share of income22.3%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.7%
State avg4.0%
U.S. avg5.2%
Labor force participation37.5%
Poverty rate20.1%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. Latest available.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$152,000
Median monthly rent$727
Price-to-rent ratio17.4x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score63/100
Economic growth93/100
Labor market71/100
Population momentum0/100
Overall stability68/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Warsaw city, Missouri

City/Town

Part of

Missouri

Nearby locations

White Branch, MOBent Tree Harbor, MOLincoln, MOTightwad, MOCole Camp, MO