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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYStable

San Diego County, CA

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score65out of 100
Compare
76
57
44
64
100

Population

3,288,774

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+5.3% YoY

76

$331.9B

Output changed +5.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.8%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

57

4.3%

Unemployment is 4.3% for March 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.3%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

-1.1% 5-year

44

3,288,774

Population moved -1.1% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population39,287,377
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

64

25.4%

Median rent consumes 25.4% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$2.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$10.7K per resident

100

$35.4B

$35.4B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$485.6B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$35.4B

$10.7K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$13.6B
2. Department of Defense$11.7B
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$4.0B

Top recipients

Dollars
1. GENERAL ATOMICS AERONAUTICAL SYSTEMS, INC.$1.6B
2. NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION$927.4M
3. AEVEX AEROSPACE, LLC$676.8M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

25.4%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,842
2BR estimate$2,426
Median income$106,268
Median home value$854,700

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

3,288,774

Median age

37.3

Bachelor's degree+

43.2%

Poverty rate

10.3%

Labor force participation

66.2%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.7%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.0%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

March 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-05-25

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.2%

GDP CAGR

+6.1%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
20203,323,970
20213,296,317
20223,289,701
20233,282,782
20243,288,774
GDP (5 years)
2020$247.1B
2021$272.9B
2022$295.4B
2023$315.3B
2024$331.9B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

20243,288,774
20253,271,131 *
20263,262,738 *

R² = 67.2% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$331.9B
2025$356.1B *
2026$377.3B *

R² = 99.3% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$106,268/yr
Median rent$2,246/mo
Rent share of income25.4%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$51,862/yr
Mortgage share of income48.8%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.3%
State avg5.3%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation66.2%
Poverty rate10.3%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. March 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$854,700
Median monthly rent$2,246
Price-to-rent ratio31.7x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score62/100
Economic growth76/100
Labor market57/100
Population momentum44/100
Overall stability65/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

San Diego County, California

County

Part of

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Nearby locations

San Diego Country Estates, CARamona, CAJulian, CAAlpine, CAEucalyptus Hills, CA