GDP / Output
+3.7% YoY
65
$268.3B
Output changed +3.7% in 2024.
Vintage date unknown
State growth5.8%
U.S. growth5.3%
Jobs
Unemployment rate
72
3.3%
Unemployment is 3.3% for May 2026.
Vintage date unknown
State avg5.2%
U.S. avg4.2%
Population
-5.1% 5-year
19
830,235
Population moved -5.1% over the latest ACS window.
Vintage date unknown
State population39,287,377
U.S. population334,922,499
Housing
Rent share of income
70
21.1%
Median rent consumes 21.1% of median household income: Affordable.
Vintage date unknown
State rent$2.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
Federal Funds
$9.7K per resident
100
$8.5B
$8.5B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.
Vintage date unknown
State total$485.6B
U.S. total$5.3T
Population and output
Trend Snapshot
Reported share
Industry Breakdown
FY2025
Federal Money
Federal obligations
$8.5B
$9.7K per resident in reported federal flow.
Top agencies
Dollars1. Social Security Administration$3.3B
2. Department of Commerce$1.9B
3. Department of Health and Human Services$1.1B
Top recipients
Dollars1. CALIFORNIA PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION$1.9B
2. REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO, THE$791.1M
3. SAN FRANCISCO HOUSING AUTHORITY$541.1M
Affordable
Housing Affordability
21.1%
of median income
1BR estimate$2,030
2BR estimate$2,674
Median income$140,970
Median home value$1,394,500
ACS context
Quick Facts
Population
830,235
Median age
40.0
Bachelor's degree+
60.3%
Poverty rate
11.2%
Labor force participation
69.6%
Prime rate
6.8%
CPI YoY
+3.2%
U.S. GDP YoY
+6.1%
Sources and warnings
Data Provenance
Census ACS 5-year
2024
BLS LAUS / CPS
May 2026
BEA regional CAGDP1
2024
USAspending
FY2025
FRED
2026-07-21
HUD Fair Market Rent
Latest available
Data notes
- HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.
5-year compound growth
Historical Trends
Population CAGR
-1.0%
GDP CAGR
+4.5%
Federal flow
5 years
Population (5 years)
2020874,784
2021865,933
2022851,036
2023836,321
2024830,235
GDP (5 years)
2020$215.1B
2021$250.2B
2022$245.7B
2023$258.8B
2024$268.3B
2-year linear forecast
Predictive Outlook
Population forecast
2024830,235
2025816,049 *
2026804,178 *
R² = 98.3% · * projected
GDP forecast
2024$268.3B
2025$282.1B *
2026$293.6B *
R² = 81.5% · * projected
Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.
housing affordability breakdown
Cost of Living
Median household income$140,970/yr
Median rent$2,476/mo
Rent share of income21.1%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$84,616/yr
Mortgage share of income60.0%
Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.
employment snapshot
Job Market
Unemployment rate3.3%
State avg5.2%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation69.6%
Poverty rate11.2%
Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. May 2026.
valuation snapshot
Real Estate
Median home value$1,394,500
Median monthly rent$2,476
Price-to-rent ratio46.9x
High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.
composite score
Investment Climate
Investment climateModerate
Composite score58/100
Economic growth65/100
Labor market72/100
Population momentum19/100
Overall stability65/100
Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.